世界经济 ›› 2019, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (10): 120-142.

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地方经济增长目标约束与制造业出口技术复杂度

余泳泽1, 张少辉2, 杜运苏1   

  1. 1. 南京财经大学国际经贸学院 南京市文苑路3号 210046;
    2. 上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院 上海市国定路777号 200433
  • 出版日期:2019-10-10 发布日期:2019-10-24
  • 通讯作者: 张少辉(通讯作者),电子信箱:zsharvey@163.com E-mail:zsharvey@163.com
  • 作者简介:余泳泽,电子信箱:yongze125@126.com;杜运苏,电子信箱:duyunsu@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(71973060)、国家社科基金一般项目(16BJY069)和教育部人文社会科学基金一般项目(18YJA790098)的资助。

The Constraint of Local Economic Growth Target and Manufacturing Export Technological Sophistication

Yu Yongze1, Zhang Shaohui2, Du Yunsu1   

  • Online:2019-10-10 Published:2019-10-24

摘要: 本文以中国2004-2013年230个地级及以上城市政府工作报告中的经济增长目标数据为样本,考察经济增长目标设定中的双重约束现象对制造业出口技术复杂度的影响。研究表明,地方经济增长目标设定中采用"硬性用语"以及"层层加码"程度越高,越不利于其制造业出口技术复杂度的提升,而采用"留有余地"适宜性增长目标的地区制造业出口技术复杂度相对较高。地方经济增长目标约束通过影响地方政府投资和引资行为,造成对地区创新活动的阻滞效应以及对劳动和资本密集型行业的路径依赖,进而阻碍制造业出口技术复杂度提升。本文的研究结论对于改进地区经济增长目标管理及促进制造业高质量发展有重要意义。

关键词: 经济增长目标, 出口技术复杂度, 制造业高质量发展

Abstract: This paper takes the economic growth target data of 230 cities and prefectures in China between 2004 and 2013 as a sample to examine the impact of dual constraints on the establishment of economic growth targets on manufacturing export technological sophistication. The study shows that the use of "hard language" and a higher degree of "unrestricted raising" in setting local economic growth targets is not conducive to the improvement of manufacturing export technological sophistication, and regional manufacturing export technological sophistication with an "ample" adequate growth target is relatively higher. Local economic growth target constraints mainly affect local governments' behaviour with respect to investment promotion, which translates into a deepening of the "jamming effect" on regional innovation activities and the "path dependency" on labour and capital-intensive industries, which in turn hinders increases in manufacturing export technological sophistication. The conclusions of this paper are of great significance to the management of regional economic growth targets and the promotion of high-quality development of manufacturing.

Key words: economic growth target, export technological sophistication, high-quality manufacturing development

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